Will the Solendra protocol's 'Aurora' hard fork activate on mainnet by November 30, 2026?
The outcome is produced by an institutional decision, which widens the circle of people who know it early.
- Registry
- 0xb8e11dea…3165bbc7 ↗
- Attested score
- 68 · elevated — matches this page
- Method hash
- 0xda817730…b70bb8c4
- Read back
- 2026-08-31T15:22:16.416Z
- Source record
- Open attested score ↗
This score is published on Somnia Shannon (chain 50312) as a public good: any contract or agent can read it from the registry without this site. The method hash pins it to the exact anchor-library version that produced it.
D1Outcome ControlLevel 4 · Institutional decision
The outcome is produced by the coordinated action of a development organization and validator set.
the Solendra Core development team successfully activates the 'Aurora' hard fork
D2Knowledge CircleLevel 4 · Dozens
Much of the process is public, but readiness and postponement decisions are known to the core team and insiders before any announcement — dozens of people.
targeted for mid-November 2026 per Solendra Improvement Proposal SIP-47
D3Insider TradabilityLevel 4 · Ambiguous
Developers and validator operators face no clear trading constraint; any foundation policies plausibly do not reach this venue.
a supermajority of Solendra mainnet validators
D4Disclosure SynchronicityLevel 2 · Official roughly scheduled
Activation is observable on-chain by everyone at once, on a roughly known schedule.
as measured by the protocol's own on-chain signaling mechanism
D5Outcome ManufacturabilityLevel 4 · Small group
A small core group can time the outcome — announcing a postponement manufactures a NO resolution.
formally postponed past November 30, 2026 by a published Solendra Core announcement
- This score reflects the structural risk of the event type, not live detection of insider activity in this market.
- This is not a prediction of the outcome and not trading advice.