ETH closes at or above its opening price
No structural early-knowledge advantage is apparent: the outcome is produced and disclosed in ways no participant controls.
- Market ID
- 0x00000000…0000f12a
- Status
- Trading
- Expiry
- · checking window…
- Window
- 5-minute window
- Registry
- 0xb8e11dea…3165bbc7 ↗
- Attested score
- 3 · low — matches this page
- Method hash
- 0xda817730…b70bb8c4
- Read back
- 2026-08-31T15:22:16.416Z
- Source record
- Open attested score ↗
This score is published on Somnia Shannon (chain 50312) as a public good: any contract or agent can read it from the registry without this site. The method hash pins it to the exact anchor-library version that produced it.
D1Outcome ControlLevel 1 · Natural process
The outcome is the exchange market price of a major crypto asset, a process no identifiable party controls.
ETH closes at or above its opening price
D2Knowledge CircleLevel 1 · None
The settlement price becomes known to everyone at the moment it exists; there is no early-knowledge window.
ETH closes at or above its opening price
D3Insider TradabilityLevel 1 · Prohibited enforced
With no early-knowledge window (D2 = none), there is no insider position for any constraint to apply to.
ETH closes at or above its opening price
D4Disclosure SynchronicityLevel 1 · Fixed schedule
The market settles on a fixed window expiry via on-chain oracle publication, auditable at the Somnia oracle hub (https://prd.oracle.somnia.host/explore).
ETH closes at or above its opening price
D5Outcome ManufacturabilityLevel 2 · Prohibitively costly
Moving the global market price of a major crypto asset enough to flip the strike dwarfs any plausible bet size.
ETH closes at or above its opening price
- This score reflects the structural risk of the event type, not live detection of insider activity in this market.
- This is not a prediction of the outcome and not trading advice.